One prediction, laid out best by Coinbase co-founder Brian Armstrong, is that it will result in the vast majority of tasks shifting to cheaper models.

“[D]emand for intelligence is near infinite, but 80% of workloads will be running on 99% cheaper models within 12-18 months,” Armstrong wrote on X. “20% of workloads will still run on latest gen models where IQ maxing is important.”

It’s hard to overstate what a significant shift it will be for the AI industry if Armstrong’s prediction comes true.

Before now, most AI companies have competed on quality, which has meant defaulting to the most advanced available model. If those same jobs can be handled by cheaper models without affecting quality, it would mean a massive shift in the economics of AI. And critically, much of the savings would be coming out of the pockets of the big labs, dealing a financial blow to OpenAI and Anthropic just as they’re heading for their IPOs.